Friday, August 10, 2007

Drug Pricing And Its Discontents: At Home And Abroad

Drug Pricing And Its Discontents: At Home And Abroad


10 Aug 2007

This Health Policy Outlook assesses the market for chronic disease medications such as antiretroviral drugs (ARVs) to treat HIV/AIDS. A tiered, or differential, pricing structure serves public health by ensuring the greatest affordability of patented drugs as well as maximizing profits to the innovator. Ending differential pricing could increase access for some patients in the short run, but would pose a severe threat to global drug innovation in the long run, and probably lower access for some patients. Differential pricing appears haphazard, often because negotiations among drug companies, insurers, government providers, pharmacies, and other retailers are opaque. There is no doubt the pricing system could be improved. Many companies differentiate prices according to socioeconomic indicators to make them equally affordable to people with different incomes and to countries with varying disease burdens. Ideally, this approach simultaneously yields pr ices affordable to both low- and middle-income countries and maintains incentives for research and development (R&D). Concerns within pharmaceutical companies about pricing approaches, however, prevent sensible collaboration on the correct approach to differential pricing.

Differential pricing (also known as "price discrimination"[1]) of branded pharmaceuticals has several opponents. Many Americans are upset that they pay more for medicines than people in other countries do, but many activists are annoyed that the poor in countries like Thailand pay more than the cost of production for HIV/AIDS medicines. Both groups believe the pharmaceutical industry is accruing excess profits at their expense.

In the late 1990s, ARVs were not widely available, and certainly not at prices that most HIV-infected patients in the poorest countries could afford. Following litigation and media pressure, several "originator" pharmaceutical companies--those that develop new drugs rather than merely produce existing ones--that owned patents on various ARVs responded by lowering their prices for residents of poor countries through the Accelerated Access Initiative (AAI). This public-private partnership, consisting of five pharmaceutical companies[2] and several United Nations (UN) organizations, aims to provide developing countries with access to medicines at the lowest possible prices and technical support for national access programs for ARV treatment.[3]

Using UN Human Development Index (HDI) measures to determine eligibility, drug companies in the AAI offered several discounts for their drugs to low-income countries. This price reduction program soon extended to middle-income countries such as Brazil and India, which have proportionately less HIV/AIDS prevalence. Companies like Merck and F. Hoffmann-La Roche were among the first originator companies to publicize their lower prices for middle-income countries.[4]

In recent years, the practice of price discrimination by the pharmaceutical industry has been affected by several initiatives. In 2001, the World Trade Organization (WTO) issued the Doha declaration on its Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPS) agreement, allowing low-income countries to ignore intellectual property rights in case of a public health emergency and acquire patented drugs at less than market value.[5] Given that few, if any, profits came from these countries, there was little concerted opposition by the pharmaceutical industry to the agreement, although the industry was slow to lower prices in the poorest nations and initially opposed the Doha declaration. After several thoughtful negotiations, however, it was persuaded to support tiered prices in poor countries. Initially, the agreement was limited to the poorest nations, but middle-income countries--particularly those with generic "copy"[6] drug industries[7]--t ook this as an opportunity to demand that originator companies offer them prices similar to those enjoyed by poor countries. Lest its inaction permit drug copies to be widely introduced into the market, the research-based industry lowered its prices in middle-income countries as well.

For example, competition from generic producers in India and Brazil forced the average branded price of an AIDS triple-combination therapy down from $10,439 per year per person to less than $1,000 per year in 2000.[8] In February 2001, Cipla, an Indian generics manufacturer, announced that it would sell a cocktail of three anti-HIV drugs--stavudine, lamivudine, and nevirapine--for $350 per patient per year.[9] The price of this triple combination was as high as $15,000 in the United States.[10]

Since 2001, the research-based industry has become more willing to tier prices. That year, Bristol-Myers Squibb became the first pharmaceutical company to allow other companies to produce generic versions of an HIV/AIDS drug for which it had exclusive production rights.[11] There are innovator companies willing to take steps to increase the supply of medicines--particularly the ARVs essential to the successful treatment of HIV/AIDS--even if it means partnering with generic producers.

Meanwhile, activists and copy producers have continued to push for lower prices. Keeping HIV/AIDS treatment affordable is important, but developments like Cipla's cheap cocktail are not without repercussions. Lowering the price of drugs in middle-income countries in the short run may undermine new-drug R&D in the long run.

Who Pays the Piper

The reality is that U.S. patients bear the greatest burden for R&D costs even when middle-income countries contribute their share. Americans would certainly like to see reduced drug prices. Senator Byron L. Dorgan (D-N.D.), sponsor of a Senate bill[12] that would allow Americans to reimport cheaper drugs from Canada, said that "[l]ifesaving prescription drugs save no lives if you cannot afford to purchase them."[13] Dorgan makes an important point: even wealthy countries like the United States have to deal with pricing pressures of their own, and their citizens may be getting fed up with paying the lion's share of global R&D costs. Although the correct price of a pharmaceutical is a debatable topic, middle-income countries have some responsibility to contribute to R&D, yet they do not generally acknowledge that role.

Many nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) argue that all people ought to have equal access (that is, access on the same terms and at the same prices) to pharmaceuticals. Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF, known as Doctors Without Borders) has been the most vocal critic of differential pharmaceutical pricing. It prefers an artificial pricing system that would either have prices mandated by UN agencies or NGOs such as the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria, or allow UN aid groups to purchase generics and break pharmaceutical companies' patents: "MSF is advocating for a combination of policies to lower drug prices on a sustainable basis; these strategies include encouraging generic competition, voluntary discounts on branded drugs, global procurement, and local production."[14] The activists' next best solution is simply to push for lower prices wherever and whenever they can. Each price cut is viewed as a victory, regardless of its negativ e consequences.

Several studies, however, have defended the market-driven price discrimination model, arguing that price discrimination is economically efficient and welfare-maximizing.[15]

Why Companies Must Price Discriminate: A Theoretical Excursion

There is a considerable scholarly literature[16] comparing the price discrimination model to a single-price model, and it reveals that price discrimination in the pharmaceutical industry is better for society. Orthodox economic theory is based on a utilitarian philosophy that decisions should be made with the end goal of maximizing societal welfare. Under certain circumstances, price discrimination is a classic economic model that typifies this philosophy, as it allows price-sensitive individuals to consume a good they otherwise would not have been able to consume under a single-price structure.

Prices need to be higher in industrialized countries in order for pharmaceutical companies to recoup the costs of production, as well as to provide an incentive for further innovation. Drug R&D is vastly expensive. Every year, R&D amounts to almost 20 percent of the U.S. research-based pharmaceutical industry's total global sales. By the time a drug receives Food and Drug Administration approval, an average of $802 million has been spent on R&D.[17] Researching a new drug involves high fixed costs because "it is largely invariant to the number of patients or countries that ultimately use the drug and cannot be attributed to specific countries."[18] Consequently, the costs of R&D must be shared across the myriad drug markets, with the richer paying significantly more than the poor, and those in the middle contributing more than the poorest. The goal of distinguishing between markets is ultimately to reconcile patents--which are necessa ry for innovation--with the affordability and accessibility of these drugs in poor countries.

Figure 1 illustrates a situation in which a firm with some market power (facing the downward-sloping demand curve DD) is trying to find the one price that will maximize profits. Given the market demand and cost conditions in that market, the firm will maximize profits at that output (q) where marginal costs equal marginal revenue (MC=MR). At this output, profits (the solid rectangle) will be as large as possible, but p will be greater than MC.

While it costs hundreds of millions of dollars to produce the first pill of a new drug, the marginal cost (MC) of producing additional pills is very low. Therefore, a traditional pricing system that charges consumers the marginal cost of the drug would not take into account the high R&D costs that the firm incurred. But when producers in such industries can charge different prices to different people, they can expand production and reach a wider section of the market.

Figure 2 illustrates this differential pricing system (by assuming that companies can isolate and keep separate different groups of buyers, represented by the demand curve DD). Simply put, those who are able and willing to pay more (i.e., the wealthier) are charged p3, while those who can or will only pay less (i.e., the poorer) are charged p2. If this strategy is successful, and those receiving the lower prices cannot resell to those willing to pay more, then the company will get higher profits than it would by setting a single price.[19]

Figure 2 is an oversimplification of the real market, but studies show that this form of differential pricing leads to a more socially efficient outcome.[20] In the context of the pharmaceutical market, differential pricing allows pharmaceutical companies to produce more drugs than would be possible in a single-price system, thus giving patients in developing countries greater access to life-saving drugs.[21]

Profits in the pharmaceutical context do not merely serve to fill wallets for shareholders: they allow R&D to be sustained and even expand. The price discrimination model allows middle- to high-income countries to bear most of the R&D costs, while affording low-income countries greater access than otherwise to the safe, effective drugs they need.

When the Price Is (Not) Right

A pharmaceutical company must meet several criteria before it is able to practice price discrimination. First, the company must be a price-searcher, not a price-taker. This means it must have enough market power[22] to search for a profit-maximizing set of prices rather than accept a market price as, say, a wheat farmer would do. In the pharmaceutical market, such market power is often the result of a government-granted patent. Second, there can be no secondary markets; that is, a consumer cannot buy a drug at a low price in one country and sell it at a higher price in a different country. This defeats the purpose of segmenting markets. In reality, the ability to practice price discrimination is often impeded by external factors in the market.

While pharmaceutical companies selling branded products are not like wheat farmers, they still do not have unlimited power to price discriminate or set prices in any market. A Federal Trade Commission report explains some of the reasons for this phenomenon from a domestic perspective, and, in doing so, captures the international scene as well: "Over the last 15 years, the pricing and other competitive strategies of pharmaceutical companies have been altered by revolutionary developments in information technology, new state drug substitution laws. . . . The industry has also undergone significant structural changes that include growth of the generic drug segment."[23]

The effect of price controls is a key factor influencing a firm's motivation to discriminate on the basis of price. When a government decides to set the price for a particular product, the firm may have little choice except to refuse to supply consumers if it thinks the regulated price is below the marginal cost of serving the market. Another important factor limiting or reducing a company's opportunity to discriminate successfully on price is market competition. This comes from the entry of new branded products from rival industries, new copies (licensed or not), and all the products that consumers (and their buying agents) seek out for better bargains.

The boom in the generics industry generally and the ambiguity of compulsory licensing under the TRIPS agreement in particular have weakened the standing of patented drugs. Under TRIPS, countries can choose to break patents without seeking the approval of any multilateral agency or the drug company in question. The only condition is that countries be in "national emergencies"--a broadly defined concept that includes public health crises like those related to HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis, and malaria. But without clear criteria to define which drugs, countries, and populations are eligible, many countries have enjoyed carte blanche to secure higher outputs for their generics industries. As a result, brand-holder profits--and funding for R&D--are undermined.

As patents are broken and the production of copies increases, drug prices are forced down closer to their marginal costs. Marginal cost pricing would suffice to cover the expenses of copy products, whose manufacturers incur only production and distribution costs. As Patricia Danzon and Adrian Towse point out, however, "marginal cost pricing cannot generate sufficient revenue to cover R&D costs of [the] innovator. Hence, free entry and the resulting marginal cost pricing are incompatible with sustained incentives for R&D."[24]

The development of secondary markets, or reimportation (also known as "parallel trading"), is another hurdle that discourages price discrimination. The most notorious case of parallel trading of ARVs occurred in 2002, when schemes in which deeply discounted HIV and AIDS drugs meant for poor and dying patients in Africa were resold in Europe at huge profits. . . . Around one-fifth of GlaxoSmithKline's marked-down AIDS medication destined for impoverished patients in five African countries wound up instead in the hands of profiteers.[25]

To avoid price leakage and patent abuse, it might be tempting for drug companies to try to set a unique worldwide price, cutting many low-income countries out of the market. The combined forces of market incentives and concerns about public health have worked together to trump this approach, which is favored by industry critics. One study has found that price discrimination increases access by a factor of four to seven.[26]

Differential Pricing in Action

In our research collecting data from several drug companies, we found that many companies use a three-tiered pricing structure in which countries are placed into certain groups. In order to increase access to ARVs, many companies offer them at marginal cost to those countries hardest hit by the AIDS pandemic, while setting higher prices for middle-income countries. Companies consider the size of a country's economy (a proxy for quality of life), adult HIV prevalence rates, the amount of medicine needed, political commitment to fight the disease, and price controls.[27]

For reasons of competition, many originator pharmaceutical firms do not disclose their cross-country pricing or production costs. But in March 2001, Merck established a precedent-setting differential pricing policy, publicly disclosing its product prices for ARVs in developing-country markets and providing significant discounts for them in more than 130 countries.[28] Merck established its differential pricing policy using independent criteria: the UN Development Programme's HDI[29] (as a measure of a country's level of development) and the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV and AIDS (UNAIDS) adult HIV prevalence rate[30] (to establish burden of disease). In seventy-two[31] countries with the greatest burdens of disease and lowest levels of economic development, Merck offers its ARVs Stocrin and Crixivan at profitless prices. Since its announcement in 2001, Merck has further discounted its prices, sometimes under pressure from countries threatenin g compulsory licensing, but on several occasions when it was able to attain manufacturing efficiencies. For example, the not-for-profit price for Merck's once-daily Stocrin is 65¢[32] in all low-HDI countries as well as in medium-HDI countries with 1 percent or greater adult HIV prevalence.[33] In August 2006, in the ninety-four countries in which Merck has marketing rights,[34] it extended its pricing to Atripla, a once-daily, single-tablet regimen produced with Gilead for the treatment of HIV-1 infection in adults.[35]

There are, of course, incentive problems with preferential pricing based on both low income and high prevalence rates--especially the latter. One might foresee a situation in which, because of good public health policies, a country lowers its HIV rate from 1 percent to, say, 0.9 percent and ends up paying far more for drugs because of the arbitrary pricing cutoff. Although national health departments are highly unlikely to actually increase the incidence of the disease above 1 percent, Merck's discount program theoretically offers an incentive to overreport disease rates. It is worthwhile to note, however, that for those countries whose country classifications have changed--that is, for those that progressed from having a medium to a high HDI classification or reduced their prevalence rate--Merck has grandfathered them in at their previous lower price in recognition of the countries' commitments to tackle the disease.[36] But even this position has i ts problems, since if a country lowers its HIV rate and grows rapidly, it should expect to pay more in the future.

Abbott, another research-based pharmaceutical company, also uses this tiered pricing structure for its HIV/AIDS medication. In April 2007, Abbott announced that it would cut the price of Kaletra (lopinavir/ritonavir) in forty lower-middle-income countries in Asia, Central America, and Eastern Europe to $1,000 per year.[37] Some of the countries benefiting from this new price are India, Thailand, Sri Lanka, Jordan, and Honduras. The drug was previously offered at $2,200 per year in these countries. In sub-Saharan Africa and low-income countries in Asia, Kaletra has been offered at $500 per year. Abbott issued a statement saying, "This price is lower than any generic price available in the world today for this medicine and is approximately 55 percent less than the average current price for these countries."[38]

Another brand-holder, Gilead, explained that in ninety-seven less-developed countries (LDCs), thirty tablets of its HIV/AIDS medication--the equivalent of one month of treatment--are available for $17, essentially at cost. In lower-middle-income countries, such as China, India, and Thailand, the company prices it slightly higher, at $30.[39]

Overall, maintaining a broad three-tiered pricing schedule--with room for negotiation at each level--makes a lot of sense. Delivering essential medicines to those who need them at prices they can afford is crucial. But for the poorest, it is not just important that companies lower their prices, but that poor nations' governments increase their spending on health and commit to future purchases. One of the complaints made against Thailand was that the government actually cut its health budget in the past year while at the same time demanding lower prices from pharmaceutical companies.[40] It is the responsibility of developing countries' governments to ensure their people have access to drugs. Pharmaceutical companies have a duty to price those drugs equitably and efficiently--which means differential pricing. This is especially true considering that the costs of continuous drug development are significant and can only be undertaken by companies with d eep reserves of expertise and cash, which hinges on their ability to generate profits. Market segmentation and patent protection help companies reconcile these competing realities.

Discontented Middle-Income Countries

A three-tiered pricing structure only works if each country in each tier accepts its status. Some middle-income countries envy drug prices in low-income countries, and, backed by anti-intellectual property activists, have demanded similar pricing for themselves. Many middle-income countries already have large, well-developed pharmaceutical industries, some of which (such as India's) are extremely influential. Lobbying by and for national flag-bearers is a major reason that middle-income nations are getting lower drug prices and more domestic employment. Several countries in this category therefore continue to push for further price reductions, even when concessions have been granted by several brand holders. Brazil, for example, wants to buy Efavirenz for the 65¢ per day currently charged in Thailand (Thailand is allowed the same price as several African countries because its HIV rate is above 1 percent).[41] Brazil currently pays $1.57. In April 200 7, Brazilian officials ordered Merck to lower the price to the Thai level or face a compulsory license, which requires a manufacturer to license a generic version of its patented drug. Merck offered a 30 percent reduction to $1.10, but Brazil rejected the offer.[42] Now Brazilian president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva says the country will import Indian copies at 45¢.[43]

While actions such as these are lauded by anti-pharma activists and anticapitalist donor agencies, they are not good news for patients with HIV. Aside from the quality risks of copied drugs,[44] the repeated undermining of the drug companies' commercial position can only reduce their incentives for continued involvement in developing-country markets. This is particularly serious with respect to HIV, because it is a chronic condition for which new drugs will be essential when the existing drugs inevitably become ineffective.

Both Thailand and Brazil have significant HIV-positive populations, and the commitment of their governments to improve access to needed drugs is commendable. But they both appear to be putting industrial policy ahead of human health. Both have small but influential drug industries, and both governments heavily subsidize--or even own--the main drug corporations.[45] For example, earlier this year, Thailand's Ministry of Public Health (MOPH) announced that it would make three patented medicines--Stocrin, Kaletra, and Plavix[46]--available to the Governmental Pharmaceutical Organization (GPO), its state-owned drug-manufacturing group of companies, which will then provide copies of the drugs at low prices (and low quality). Available accounts show, however, that the GPO is merely in the business to make profits for corrupt Thai leaders. In 2002, Thai auditor-general Jaruvan Maintaka said, "The purchase of drugs through GPO . . . gives officials the chanc e to reap personal benefits. . . . The drug purchasing process becomes untransparent, inefficient and wastes money."[47] By demanding prices at which foreign corporations can make no profit and then issuing compulsory licenses for patent-protected products, agencies such as MOPH promote their own corporations.

Brazil and Thailand are middle-income countries. They should not expect to pay the same prices that Uganda--with a much lower GDP and higher HIV prevalence rate (see table 1)--pays for its HIV/AIDS medications. Yet so far, there has been no support from the international community for significant tiered pricing in these countries, which will delay investment by the research-based industry, and probably lower investigation into resistant strains of diseases. It will also harm patients worldwide, as cuts in drug company revenues mean less funding for new-drug R&D and fewer incentives to introduce new drugs in the developing world.[48] Dissolving the tiered pricing structure would be senseless. It would undermine brands and endanger public health.

The motivations of those promoting such practices may be commercial, but many allege that they are actually motivated by a belief that the patent system is dysfunctional and needs to be replaced by open access and government-funded R&D and drug delivery.[49]

Burton A. Weisbrod of Northwestern University argues that one way to harmonize the two conflicting social goals of making drugs affordable and advancing medical technology is to establish two prices: one for R&D, another for the resulting pills.[50] Under this system, governments would purchase drug patents and reward developers of successful new drugs for their R&D investments. The use of the patents would then be freely offered to any firms wishing to produce the pills. This would ensure both active competition among generic producers and low prices. James Love, director of the Consumer Project on Technology, supports this proposal, arguing that "if exclusive marketing rights were eliminated for pharmaceutical drugs, prices would be far lower, and governments could re-direct significant resources to . . . non-profit drug or vaccine development entities."[51]

The current drug development environment has yielded tremendous success and has led to the production of drugs that have saved millions of lives. It would be unwise to overhaul the current system and replace it with an untested, command-and-control regime. Such a change would be disastrous for the future of R&D. A government-run system would ignore basic free-market principles in favor of arbitrary price controls. Ultimately, such a system would undermine pharmaceutical R&D in the United States, which undertakes most of the world's drug R&D and is therefore vital for the health and well-being of future generations.

Part of the Solution

In the pharmaceutical context, it is not hyperbole to say that multimarket price discrimination is a matter of life and death. Companies can simultaneously charge prices that are affordable to both low- and middle-income countries and preserve incentives for R&D. Drug companies need to better explain their reasons for price discrimination and the differences in pricing across similar drug classes in the same country. Companies developing medicines like ARVs incur a wide range of development and even manufacturing costs. Therefore, pricing of very similar products varies, a fact that often mystifies consumers and commentators. These facts need to be made clearer to the public.

Anti-pharma activists may choose to find fault with the individual prices that companies set for their patented drugs--certainly a topic for legitimate debate. They are correct that competition from generics producers will lower prices, which, after all, is why competition is such a boon to consumers. But competition must rest on intellectual-property protection. The use of compulsory licenses, therefore, is arguably not legitimate competition, but rather theft. What many activists seem not to accept, however, is that patents are not a hurdle to improving access to drugs. Patents are necessary for innovation and access. As long as middle-income countries continue to demand lower prices, drug companies may be increasingly unwilling to provide cheap drugs to the poorest of countries, like they do today.

The current approach favored by the international community and large NGOs is to buy most of the drugs from brand-name suppliers and promote competition by directing some funds (20 percent by transaction volume at the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria) to governments that purchase drugs made by manufacturers of copy products. But nearly all the purchased drugs are of uncertain quality, compromising quality and undermining profits in the middle-income markets for companies actually investing in R&D.

The global pharmaceutical sector and its critics need a dose of reality. Even if prices are set at marginal cost, the neediest patients--from the United States to Thailand and African nations--will still require subsidies for treatment, especially for chronic conditions, which is a legitimate role for governments to undertake. A stable, tiered pricing system can go a long way to mitigate these challenges.

With rapidly proliferating and drug-resistant strains of diseases, the promise of new treatments to tackle them is greater than ever. Differential pricing for branded pharmaceuticals is part of the solution to the challenge of increasing affordability and accessibility for existing drugs, not part of the problem.

By Roger Bate, Kathryn Boateng

Roger Bate (rbate@aei.org) is a resident fellow at AEI. Kathryn Boateng (kboateng@aei.org) is a research assistant at AEI. Editorial assistant Evan Sparks worked with Mr. Bate and Ms. Boateng to edit and produce this Health Policy Outlook.

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1. The term "price discrimination" refers to the practice of charging different prices for the same goods in different segments of the market (or, in the case of pharmaceutical companies, in different countries). Price discrimination goes by a number of different names: multipart pricing, multimarket pricing, and Ramsey pricing (a name now used in many technical articles).

2. The companies are Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Glaxo Wellcome (now GlaxoSmithKline), Merck, and F. Hoffmann-La Roche. Later, Abbott and Pfizer also joined the initiative.

3. Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS), "New Public/Private Sector Effort Initiated to Accelerate Access to HIV/AIDS Care and Treatment in Developing Countries," news release, May 11, 2000, available here (accessed June 28, 2007).

4. Rebecca Hellerstein, "Do Pharmaceutical Firms Price Discriminate across Rich and Poor Countries? Evidence from Antiretroviral Drug Prices" (paper, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, August 2004), available at http://www.ny.frb.org/research/economists/hellerstein/JDE2.pdf (accessed June 28, 2007).

5. Roger Bate and Richard Tren, "The WTO and Access to Essential Medicines: Recent Agreements, New Assignments," Health Policy Outlook no. 4 (February 2006), available at http://www.aei.org/publication23900/.

6. A generic drug is bioequivalent--that is, it operates as a perfect copy of a branded drug. The term "copy" is used to denote a drug that may be bioequivalent but is of uncertain quality.

7. See Roger Bate, "India and the Drug Patent Wars," Health Policy Outlook no. 3 (February 2007), available at http://www.aei.org/publication25566.

8. Rebecca Hellerstein, "Do Pharmaceutical Firms Price Discriminate across Rich and Poor Countries?"

9. Ibid.

10. Seema Kamdar, "Drug-Maker Pricks MNC Arrogance," Statesman (India), April 20, 2001, available at here (accessed June 28, 2007).

11. Sahm Adrangi, "Patent on Yale's AIDS Drug Relaxed," Yale Daily News, March 19, 2001.

12. Pharmaceutical Market Access and Drug Safety Act of 2007, S 242, 110th Cong., 1st sess., available at http://thomas.loc.gov/cgi-bin/query/z?c110:S.242: (accessed August 1, 2007).

13. Robert Pear, "Plan to Import Drugs from Canada Passes in Senate, but Bush Declines to Carry It Out," New York Times, July 18, 2002.

14. Médecins Sans Frontières (Doctors Without Borders), Campaign for Access to Essential Medicines, "The Campaign: What Is the Campaign?" available at http://www.accessmed-msf.org/campaign/campaign.shtm (accessed August 1, 2007).

15. See Michael Kremer, "Pharmaceuticals and the Developing World," The Journal of Economic Perspectives 16, no. 4 (Fall 2002): 67-90; Patricia Danzon and Adrian Towse, "Differential Pricing for Pharmaceuticals: Reconciling Access, R&D and Patents," International Journal of Health Care Finance and Economics 3 (2003): 183-205; Robert B. Helms, "The Economics of Price Regulation and Innovation," Managed Care, June 1, 2004, available at http://www.aei.org/publication20803/ ; and Henry G. Grabowski, John Vernon, and Joseph A. DiMasi, "Returns on Research and Development for 1990s New Drug Introductions," PharmacoEconomics 20, no. 3 (2002): S11-29.

16. Ibid.

17. Tufts Center for the Study of Drug Development, "Tufts Center for the Study of Drug Development Pegs Cost of a New Prescription Medicine at $802 Million," news release, November 30, 2001, available at http://csdd.tufts.edu/NewsEvents/RecentNews.asp?newsid=6 (accessed July 24, 2007).

18. Patricia Danzon and Adrian Towse, "Differential Pricing for Pharmaceuticals: Reconciling Access, R&D and Patents."

19. Being able to charge different prices in different markets depends on the conditions in each market, not on the ability to charge higher prices in one market as a condition for giving a discount in another market--the "cost-shifting" that is often alleged. See Michael A. Morrisey, Cost Shifting in Health Care: Separating Evidence from Rhetoric (Washington, DC: AEI Press, 1994).

20. Patricia Danzon and Adrian Towse, "Differential Pricing for Pharmaceuticals: Reconciling Access, R&D and Patents."

21. See Robert B. Helms, "The Economics of Price Regulation and Innovation"; and Henry G. Grabowski, John Vernon, and Joseph A. DiMasi, "Returns on Research and Development for 1990s New Drug Introductions."

22. Market power exists when there are no readily available, equally satisfactory substitutes for the good or service that the seller is offering. See Terry Fisher, "Price Discrimination--with Respect to Entertainment and Drugs," Lessig 2.0, October 30, 2004, available at http://www.lessig.org/blog/archives/002267.shtml (accessed May 10, 2007).

23. Federal Trade Commission, "The Pharmaceutical Industry: A Discussion of Competitive and Antitrust Issues in an Environment of Change," executive summary, June 25, 2007, available at http://www.ftc.gov/reports/pharmaceutical/drugexsum.shtm (accessed June 28, 2007).

24. Patricia Danzon and Adrian Towse, "Differential Pricing for Pharmaceuticals: Reconciling Access, R&D and Patents."

25. Gregory Crouch, "Europeans Investigate Resale of AIDS Drugs," New York Times, October 29, 2002.

26. Jerome Dumoulin, "Global Pricing Strategies for Innovative Essential Drugs," International Journal of Biotechnology 3, no. 3/4 (2001): 338-49.

27. Actual prices may be higher due to local price inflators, such as the need to pay a local agent, taxes and tariffs, "handling fees," hospital fees, and others. See, for example, Roger Bate and Kathryn Boateng, "Medicinal Malpractice: Improving Drug Access and Reducing Corruption," Health Policy Outlook no. 10 (December 2006), available at http://www.aei.org/publication25276/

28. Merck, "Our Commitment to HIV/AIDS: Fostering Access to Treatment," available here (accessed July 19, 2007).

29. United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), Human Development Report 2001: Making New Technologies Work for Human Development (New York: Oxford University Press, 2001), 106, available through http://hdr.undp.org/reports/global/2001/en/ (accessed August 1, 2007).

30. UNAIDS, "A Global View of HIV Infection," in 2006 Report on the Global AIDS Epidemic, (Geneva: UNAIDS, 2006), available at here (accessed July 19, 2007).

31. David Greeley (senior director, Global HIV/AIDS Program, Merck), personal communication with the authors, May 31, 2007.

32. Merck, "Merck & Co., Inc., Again Reduces Price of STOCRIN (efavirenz) for Patients in Least Developed Countries and Countries Hardest Hit by Epidemic," news release, February 14, 2007, available at http://www.merck.com/newsroom/press_releases/corporate/2007_0214a.html (accessed July 23, 2007).

33. UNDP, Human Development Report 2006: Beyond Scarcity: Power, Poverty and the Global Water Crisis (Basingstoke, England: Palgrave Macmillan, 2006), statistics, available at http://hdr.undp.org/hdr2006/statistics/ (accessed July 19, 2007).

34. David Greeley, personal communication with the authors, May 31, 2007.

35. Merck, "Merck and Co. to Distribute ATRIPLA in Developing Countries," news release, February 16, 2007, available at http://www.merck.com/newsroom/press_releases/corporate/2007_0216.html (accessed July 19, 2007).

36. David Greeley, personal communication with the authors, May 31, 2007.

37. Keith Alcorn, "Abbott Announces Kaletra Price Cut for Lower Middle-Income Countries, Makes New Offer to Thailand," NAM aidsmap, April 10, 2007, available at here (accessed June 29, 2007).

38. Ibid.

39. Gilead representatives, personal communication with the authors, May 25, 2007.

40. See Ronald Cass, "Thai Patent Turmoil," Wall Street Journal, March 12, 2007; and Roger Bate, "Thailand and the Drug Patent Wars," Health Policy Outlook no. 5 (April 2007), available at http://www.aei.org/publication25890/.

41. Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation, "Brazilian Health Ministry Rejects Merck's Offer to Sell Antiretroviral at Discounted Price; Government to Decide about Compulsory License," Kaiser Daily HIV/AIDS Report, May 4, 2007, available at here (accessed August 1, 2007).

42. Ibid.

43. Roger Bate, "Lesson from Brazil: Pharma Needs to Explain Its Pricing," American.com, May 8, 2007, available at http://www.aei.org/publication26139/.

44. Thailand's flagship producer announced it was closing its plant to improve quality. See "GPO Halts Production during Revamp to Lift Standards," Bangkok Post, July 6, 2007. For the past three years, the Thai government claimed the drugs produced in this plant were good, even though the World Health Organization, the Global Fund, and other independent evaluators disagreed.

45. Roger Bate, "Thailand and the Drug Patent Wars."

46. "Thai Government Expands Scope of Patent-Breaking Strategy amid Unrest in Asia," Global Insight, February 15, 2007, available at http://www.globalinsight.com/SDA/SDADetail8346.htm (accessed March 22, 2007).

47. Roger Bate, "Thailand's Patent Attack," New York Sun, February 13, 2007, available at http://www.aei.org/publication25614/

48. Roger Bate, "The Cost of Cheap Drugs," Economic Affairs (June 2007), available at http://www.aei.org/publication26345/.

49. Roger Bate and Richard Tren, "Government-Controlled Pharmaceutical Research and Development: A Recipe for Disaster," Health Policy Outlook no. 8 (May 2006), available at http://www.aei.org/publication24431/.

50. Burton A. Weisbrod, "Solving the Drug Dilemma," Policy Perspective 26, no. 1 (Winter 2004), available at http://www.northwestern.edu/ipr/publications/newsletter/iprn0312/weisbrod.html (accessed July 11, 2007).

51. James Love, "A New Trade Framework for Global Healthcare R&D" (paper, Center on Globalization and Sustainable Development, Earth Institute, Columbia University, New York, December 4, 2003), available at http://www.earthinstitute.columbia.edu/cgsd/documents/love_000.pdf (accessed July 11, 2007).

Japan unable, and unwilling, to assert power TheRecord.com - Opinions - Japan unable, and unwilling, to assert power

Japan unable, and unwilling, to assert power TheRecord.com - Opinions - Japan unable, and unwilling, to assert power

MICHAEL ZIELENZIGER
Washington Post

Just a few weeks ago, the George W. Bush administration seemed convinced that it could rely on a newly assertive Japan to contain China's rise and help prosecute the global fight against terrorism. Then last weekend, Japan's voters just said "No.'' The stinging electoral rebuke to Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and his ruling Liberal Democratic Party (which lost control of the upper house of the Diet for the first time since the party was founded in 1955) does more than usher in a new era of drift and unpredictability in Japanese politics. Abe's drubbing should also dispel some dangerous misperceptions about today's Japan.

1. Japan is a strong, rising power, ready to assert new influence across Asia.

Even before the Bush administration came to power in 2001, many members of its kitchen cabinet were arguing that an assertive new Japan was ready to become the United States' chief surrogate in checking Chinese expansion. Japan would no longer be a "free rider,'' they said, in contrast with its behaviour in the 1991 Persian Gulf War, when Tokyo merely wrote a $9 billon check to help protect its oil supply.

Sure enough, after the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq in 2003, former prime minister Junichiro Koizumi dispatched peacekeeping soldiers to southern Iraq, ostensibly to conduct "humanitarian relief,'' in defiance of Japan's pacifist constitution. Koizumi's hand-picked successor, Abe, went further still, pledging to revise the constitution to eliminate the clause renouncing Japan's willingness to wage war. He also promised to work ever more closely with the Pentagon on missile defense and logistical support for U.S. combat troops, and he toed a more strident line against North Korea.

But Abe's eagerness to draw closer to Washington and rewrite the constitution clashed with the will of the people. While most Japanese citizens tell pollsters they believe the pacifist post-Second World War constitution (written by U.S. occupation forces in 1946) ought to be updated, most also reject expanding the nation's military muscle. And a majority of voters older than 60 -- the aging nation's most important voting bloc -- say that the constitution's pacifist Article 9 remains the most important legacy from the debacle of the Second World War.

So, while U.S. military planners want Tokyo to seize more responsibility as the U.S. military is stretched thin, Japan now seems likelier to back away. A counterterrorism measure that permits ships from the Japanese Maritime Self-Defence Force to refuel U.S. naval convoys is up for renewal this fall and may not pass. Don't be surprised if Ichiro Ozawa, the leader of the newly emboldened opposition Democratic Party of Japan, uses this as a lever to break up the Diet and force new elections.

2. Japan has shed its economic blues.

More than 15 years after its bubble economy burst, Japan may be groping its way back toward sustainable growth. But despite the stunning export success of carmakers such as Toyota and electronics firms such as Canon, the nation's domestic consumption remains anemic.

In fact, anxious voters rebelled against the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) in part because they believed Abe had put economic reforms on the back burner. (The fact that his government apparently lost 50 million pension records, and that three of his ministers faced campaign funding scandals, didn't help.)

Today, most Japanese seek economic renewal, not military revival. The nation's giant banks still generate tiny profits, consumer prices continue to fall, domestic demand remains feeble, and real interest rates are nearly zero. The yen is weaker than even the U.S. dollar, and that's saying something. The nation's accumulated government debt tops 170 per cent of gross domestic product, while the population is shrinking because women won't marry and bear children. That translates into a nation that will soon make South Florida look like a youth hostel.

Japan should be welcoming immigrants to nurse its elderly and wooing foreign investors to restructure its service economy, but it still can't muster the courage to see its culture altered by globalization.

In fact, as a result of Abe's stumbles, Japan can no longer even be counted on to support a bilateral free trade agreement with the United States or help revive the Doha round of global trade talks; the weak domestic economy forces politicians to pander to local concerns.

3. Japan has reconciled with its neighbours.

Not quite.

Just a decade ago, economists and political theorists assumed Japan would become the central hub of "the Asian Century.'' But that assumed Japan and its neighbours could finally address the issues still festering from the Second World War.

Japan has failed to emerge as Asia's main power, in no small part because it has yet to transcend the "history question.'' Japanese textbooks still do not adequately teach new generations such wartime horrors as the 1937 Nanking Massacre, the occupation of Korea, or the forced recruitment of women to "service'' Imperial soldiers.

Last Monday, the U.S. House of Representatives passed a symbolic resolution urging the Japanese government to officially apologize for conscripting those "comfort women.'' The resolution barely merited notice in the U.S., but it dominated the front pages in Japan, where even some members of Abe's own party think Japan has already done too much apologizing. That doesn't bode well for a stable Asia.

4. Japan will help the United States solve the North Korean nuclear problem.

Abe's weakness makes this tough.

The old game plan ran as follows: Washington and Pyongyang finally negotiate a deal that trades North Korea's nuclear weapons and technology for diplomatic recognition and a pledge not to wage war, then Tokyo writes the large check that helps isolated, bedraggled North Korea leap into the 21st century.

But Abe and the Bush administration no longer see eye to eye here. While Washington recognizes that the Iraq debacle heightens the need to cut a deal with Kim Jong Il, many Japanese leaders think Washington is eager to abandon Tokyo's quest for a fuller accounting of the civilians abducted by North Korean agents decades ago.

Pyongyang says it has returned all those it kidnapped and made a detailed accounting of its bizarre espionage campaign. Washington isn't clear what sort of "full accounting'' Tokyo expects. But Abe first gained notoriety for his hardline stance on the abduction question, and his electoral crash last weekend may convince him that he has to push harder, even to the point of incurring White House wrath.

5. Japan's government, like its corporate powerhouses, has a long-term strategy.

Guess again.

Honda and Toyota actively think about how they'll survive the next century, but Japan itself hasn't figured out where it wants to go. Does it seek to endure as a quasi-socialist system that demands collectivism and obedience, or become more of a free-market society that rewards individual initiative? Does it want to remain reliant on Washington, or re-emerge as a powerful independent actor? Does it want to open itself to the world, allowing immigration and investment, or be left to its splendid isolation?

Nearly half of the nation tells pollsters that it wants to shrink government and empower entrepreneurship; nearly half seeks to expand the welfare state. The rest don't know or don't care.

"We've missed so many opportunities,'' a rising young leader of the LDP told me. "Right now, I'm afraid the best we can hope for is to simply survive.''

Michael Zielenziger, a visiting scholar at the University of California, Berkeley, is the author of Shutting Out the Sun: How Japan Created Its Own Lost Generation.

US official promotes free trade agreements


• Susan Schwab

U.S. official promotes free trade agreements
Commerce - Susan Schwab calls on Congress to ratify NAFTA-like pacts, including those with Peru and Panama


Friday, August 10, 2007
RICHARD READ
The Oregonian Staff

The U.S. trade ambassador stumped Thursday in Portland for more NAFTA-style pacts, previewing stark economic choices faced by Congress.
U.S. Trade Representative Susan Schwab swept through town on a campaign-style swing promoting free trade. About three dozen demonstrators with labor and environmental groups rallied outside the Arlington Club, where she addressed business leaders.
The face-off foreshadowed debates in Congress, where party leaders are calling for progress on multination trade talks before scheduling votes.
Schwab, who holds a Cabinet-level position in the Bush administration, called on Congress to ratify trade agreements, including those with Peru, Colombia and Panama. She said the pacts would open foreign markets to U.S. exporters, boosting employment.
"These three trade agreements should be no-brainers," Schwab said during a meeting earlier Thursday with members of The Oregonian's editorial board.
Arthur Stamoulis, director of the Oregon Fair Trade Campaign, a Portland-based coalition of labor, environmental and human rights organizations, said just the opposite. "Any member of Congress from the Pacific Northwest would be nuts to support the Bush administration trade agenda," Stamoulis said.
At issue is whether trade agreements create or destroy jobs by lowering tariffs and other trade barriers. Stamoulis said thousands of jobs in Oregon alone have gone offshore since the North American Free Trade Agreement took effect in 1994. Schwab acknowledges that some jobs have been lost but says far more have been created as trade agreements expand the economic pie.
"Blocking imports," Schwab said, "never saved anybody's job."
Trade agreements are stacking up in Congress like airliners circling Chicago, forcing especially tough choices for labor-friendly Democrats who represent export centers such as Oregon. The administration is urging passage of an agreement with South Korea, arguing that farmers would benefit as $1.6 billion worth of U.S. agricultural goods would immediately become duty-free.
Schwab also is representing the United States in a round of multination trade negotiations -- named the "Doha round" after the capital of Qatar, where key talks were held. She wants Congress to reapprove legislation authorizing speedy up-or-down votes on trade agreements. Congressional leaders want Doha-round results first.
"I've told them that I will do my best," Schwab said, to "get a breakthrough in the Doha round and bring it back."
On other fronts, Schwab said the administration was pursuing complaints against China with the World Trade Organization. Senators are prodding the White House, filing bills that would include in such complaints the charge that China is manipulating its currency by suppressing the value of the yuan.
That tactic could violate WTO rules, however, said Schwab, noting that China had allowed the yuan to rise gradually -- a move that addresses the trade imbalance by making Chinese goods more expensive in the United States and U.S. products cheaper in China.
Schwab said the administration would like to see the yuan rise more quickly. But she expressed skepticism concerning an article in Wednesday's state-run China Daily newspaper that warned the Chinese central bank could suddenly sell off its vast dollar holdings to counteract fast appreciation. Financial analysts say a substantial sell-off could damage the U.S. economy, compounding effects of the housing slump.
"It's not in the Chinese interest to do that," Schwab said.

Richard Read: 503-294-5135; richread@aol.com

India asked to speed up parallel trade track along WTO

India asked to speed up parallel trade track along WTO

zeenews
New Delhi, Aug 10: The UN body UNCTAD Thursday asked India to speed up trade talks among developing countries for gaining market within the fast growing south without making concessions to the rich nations under the WTO negotiations.
Along the multi-lateral Doha round of WTO, the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) had launched negotiations for the developing countries so that they can increase trade among themselves.
The third round of Global System of Trade Preferences (GSTP), a separate track of negotiations, was launched at Sao Paolo in Brazil in 2004 and is now expected to conclude by the end of this year.
UNCTAD Director, incharge of Trade in Goods, Services and Commodities, Lakshmi Puri said India has high stakes in expanding south-south trade.
"For India, this can be an ideal complement to enhance market access and openness and predictability of southern markets that it can obtain...Without having to make concessions to developed country trading partners or facing competition from them in southern markets," she said at a FICCI seminar.
She said the GSTP would provide India an opportunity to counter the rich countries, which have entered into many markets of the developing nations, through regional trade agreements of which New Delhi is not a part.
Joint Secretary in the Commerce Ministry Jayant Dasgupta said India was trying to bridge the gaps not only at a broader level but also by bilateral negotiations among the countries of the south.
Developing countries' share has tripled to 3.7 trillion dollars or 36 percent of the world trade since 1995. India, China, Brazil and South Africa have emerged as leaders of the south.

Bureau Report

US backed India on Glivec patent

US backed India on Glivec patent
10 Aug, 2007, 0101 hrs IST,Sheila Mathrani, TNN

ZURICH: A day after the Madras High Court struck down the petition of pharma giant Novartis on Glivec, civil society organisations, including Medecins sans Frontieres, celebrated the ruling at Basel and delivered a petition with half-a-million signatures to the Swiss company urging it not to challenge the decision.
The petition underscores the growing support for the developing countries’ right to take steps for the well-being of their people. In fact, India has also been backed by the US on this vexed issue.
In February, Henry A Waxman, chairman of the House committee on oversight and government reform, wrote to the Novartis chairman requesting him to withdraw the petition. The letter stated that “Novartis and its colleagues in the pharmaceutical industry should respect countries’ rights to take measures that balance the protection of innovation and the promotion of public health”.
Senator Waxman expressed his concern that the attempt of Novartis “to influence domestic Indian law could have a severe impact on worldwide access to medicines”. India’s robust generics market supplies “affordable, essential drugs both to its citizens and to poor nations around the world” and its laws “contain safeguards designed to preserve a balance between protecting innovation and promoting public health”.
This “crucial supply of medicines” could be threatened if India is put under pressure to make its patent laws “more stringent than its obligations under international trade law.”
Waxmann slammed Novartis for challenging the public safeguards of Indian law instead of appealing against the Indian Patent Office’s rejection, calling the grounds for the challenge as “questionable”.
He points out that in 2001, at Doha, 142 countries, including the US, declared that international intellectual property obligations “can and should be interpreted and implemented in a manner supportive of WTO members’ rights to protect public health, and in particular, to promote access to medicines for all.”
According to Waxman India’s law appears to protect innovation, by providing for a 20-year patent protection for innovative products. Even if in the eyes of the pharmaceutical industry the Indian law has shortcomings, patent holders continue “to enjoy stringent protection in the US and other wealthy nations, where they make the bulk of their profits.”

High expectations for APEC meeting

High expectations for APEC meeting

By ALAN GOODALL
Special to The Japan Times
SYDNEY — Ten years after the last Asian financial crisis hit world markets, the leading countries in the region need to work harder to ensure that the next downturn does not descend into a global collapse. Have the region's financial regulators gotten the message?
They should have, judging by all the hot air generated at a gabfest at Coolum, on Queensland's Sunshine Coast. There the region's top finance ministers agreed on positive economic policymaking reforms. Whether words will be translated into action may become clear in a few weeks time.
Starting Sept. 2, the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum will meet in Sydney to consider the Coolum decisions plus input from the likes of the World Bank and U.S. Treasury. Judging by tough talks behind the scenes at the swank Queensland tourist resort, APEC may yet achieve a direction broader and more fruitful than ever before in its relatively brief, productive history.
The finance ministers — among them Japan's Koji Omi — met in the shadow of yet another reminder of how fragile is the global money ebb and flow. Fears of more fallout from upsets in the U.S. sub-prime lending rate, stemming from problems in the American housing market, coincided with the ministers' determination to insulate against future setbacks within and beyond Asia.
U.S. Deputy Treasury Secretary Robert Kimmitt set a positive tone when he provided a report on the U.S. housing situation. Delegates accepted his summary as a useful guide to what was generally agreed is a sound global market outlook.
Kimmitt, however, reminded delegates that despite useful improvements in banking systems of Asian countries since the 1997 Asian crisis, there is still the need for tightening up in some banking procedures.
New World Bank president Robert Zoellick was equally upbeat. His line is that economic fundamentals in the Asian region remain good. Current firmness, however, is the time to tackle broader approaches, such as reviving the Doha round of international trade talks and improving the region's investment climate.
Fittingly, the upbeat tone as a setting for wider APEC action was simultaneously playing out for observant Asian ministers in the Australian scene. The Australian economic performance, judged on all reliable indexes, is on a new high. Not that the ministers were overly impressed by that as they noted the tussle of the ruling conservative government in Canberra, heading for its 11th year in office in a close-run general election.
Confident Australian Prime Minister John Howard enthused visiting ministers that this country's financial system is "strong, stable and secure. It will be able to withstand any ripples" as from the U.S. housing market shock.
Optimism for the region's economic outlook came strongly from Asian Development Bank president Haruhiko Kuroda. He advised that the bank, in its regular September revision, is likely to upgrade its outlook forecast this year and next year. Overall performance so far this year is already running ahead of projections made in the Asian Development Outlook released earlier this year.
Kuroda noted that while some Asian banks might be exposed to the U.S. sub-prime mortgage jitters, he did not expect any macroeconomic impact on the Asian region unless the U.S. goes into recession, a course he considered unlikely.
Comparisons with the 1997 bust received short shrift in the Kuroda summary. The successful bank leader said Asian countries experiencing rises in short-term capital flows all had stronger banking systems and higher foreign reserves to provide support against any sudden outflow.
Complaints surfaced that the Japanese yen carry trade — in which international investors use low-interest yen to invest in higher yielding currencies — is causing financial market instability. But Japan's Omi said the yen's value was based on many factors that the Tokyo government did not control. Omi warned that investors should not presume that the carry trade was risk free.
The visit by Omi was doubly welcome because of a deal he reached with Australian counterpart Peter Costello. The two ministers agreed in principle on a new bilateral tax treaty. The deal includes reducing withholding tax from 15 to 10 percent.
Tokyo and Canberra are currently negotiating a free-trade agreement. That deal has yet to be struck, partly because of agricultural trade rows, but the success of the tax treaty suggests progress may now be quicker.
The brisk flow and counterflow of the pre-APEC summit debate at the finance ministers' meeting often skirted around issues Australia tried hard to push. As host, Australian Treasurer Peter Costello tried to refocus traditional APEC concern over trade barriers toward structural reform of member nations' domestic finance systems. He will try again to win stronger agreement when APEC meets in Sydney next month.
The next Australian push will be for an economic policy support unit at the APEC secretariat in Singapore and for structural reform of APEC. But as Australia's business daily newspaper, The Financial Review, editorializes: "These are sensitive issues with Asia where there is a tradition of not getting involved in the affairs of neighbors.
"The 1997 financial crisis made it clear that no country is an island in the era of globalization." However "these proposals must not sideline moves toward freer trade in the region, which in itself tends to drive economic change."
In a line likely to be pushed firmly by Treasurer Costello next month, the respected Review opined: "Finance ministers will be demonstrating that they really have learned the lessons of the Asia crisis if they support measures to improve economic policymaking and resilience in the region."
Meanwhile, Sydney folk are preparing to live through the heaviest-yet security safeguards in the first week of September to protect visiting Asia-Pacific heads of state. Tourism operators are hoping the summit will entice more Japanese visitors to return Down Under. The intake of Japanese tourists — preferred as they are the biggest spenders — has slumped 9 percent in a year.
One inducement may be to have APEC ministers and staffers feted between weighty debate sessions with some of Sydney's lighter, traditional relaxations such as surfing off the city's famous Bondi Beach.
Alan Goodall is former Tokyo bureau chief for The Australian.
The Japan Times: Thursday, Aug. 9, 2007
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Australia: ‘US farm bill setback for Doha talks’

‘US farm bill setback for Doha talks’

CANBERRA: The US farm bill going through Congress is a setback to efforts to reach a new world trade deal, Australia’s trade minister said on Wednesday.
Trade Minister Warren Truss also said that steep differences between developing and developed countries about the size of cuts in industrial tariffs underlined the difficulty of reaching an agreement.
“The US farm bill in my view was a setback,” he told Reuters in an interview. “The proposals currently in the Congress entrench subsidies at very high levels and that sends the wrong sort of signals to the rest of the world about the US willingness to make concessions.”
The trade negotiations were launched in 2001 after the Sept. 11 attacks on the United States to give a boost to the world economy through increased opportunities for trade, and to help developing countries grow out of poverty.
The talks, known as the Doha round, are due to resume at the World Trade Organization (WTO) in Geneva in September, on the basis of proposals on trade in farm and industrial goods drawn up by diplomats after a series of setbacks.
Australia, a major exporter of food and natural resources, supports greater trade liberalisation. Truss said the US farm bill, setting spending and support for American farmers for five years, was a long way from what is in the agriculture proposals. Officials in the administration of President George W. Bush say that the bill would raise farm support to levels that distort trade and could prompt complaints from US trade partners at the WTO. They have threatened to veto it.
The complex WTO trade talks have frequently broken down, and were suspended last year, but Truss said an agreement was still possible by the end of this year if negotiators work hard in Geneva after the European summer break.
But the reaction of some developing countries to the proposals on industrial trade had made it harder to reach a deal in which a key element involves rich countries opening their markets more to farm goods in return for greater access to developing country markets for industrial manufactures, he said.
The industry trade proposals would require developed countries to cut their import tariffs to a maximum of 8 or 9 percent, while the ceiling for developing countries would fall to 19-23 percent. Truss said the difference between these two levels was already more than most developed countries could accept, but developing countries such as Brazil and India wanted more.
Truss said developing countries could boost their economies and create jobs by opening up to more trade.
“What we can do through opening up markets and encouraging developing countries to have a market-oriented economy will do far more for their GDP than all the aid programmes that the developed world provides,” he said.
Australia is concerned that the latest agriculture proposals give some leeway to aid schemes that distort trade by linking aid to purchases. He said the US was seeking concessions in this area even though they had been banned in previous talks in Hong Kong in December 2005.
He said it was not enough for the US and European countries to sign up to big cuts in farm subsidies and tariffs if they created “a second wall of defence” by rewriting rules on farm support and by exempting sensitive goods from a deal. reuters